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[ernie] The Electronic Recruiting news In Email_001218




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It is better
to not be on
the web than
to be on and
not know why

John Sumser

Reality
is more
complex
than
it seems.
John Gall


It's better to
do a few things
really well than
than to do
a lot of things
badly.
If you can't
make the necessary
commitments of
time and energy
to your
electronic
marketing
efforts
scale back
your plan.
John Sumser

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2000 Part I

(December 18, 2000) Looking back, the first thing you notice about the past year is the Spring NASDAQ Train Wreck. Our portfolio is still screaming "ouch". We don't imagine we're alone. Some of our favorite billionaires had their net worth pared by hundreds of millions of dollars. Funding for fringe ideas went away and never came back.

That said, there was never a better time to be building an Electronic Recruiting business.

Although we occasionally still encounter a team who are pursuing the IPO lottery, expectations have normalized. The adrenaline testosterone cocktail of the fast buck dreamers appears to have had a mild infusion of B vitamins and settled down a bit. The decks are cleared and the time to build the next generation is upon us. Increasingly, the business models we hear about have that down to earth quality of selling something to customers while trying not to spend all of the money they give.

That's how you build a business.

The freedom that comes with lots of Venture Capital money is a very mixed blessing. While the organic growth that can be achieved with "bootstrapping" has a slower acceleration than what's possible with a large bank account, a pure connection with customers has amazing consequences. Many of the really large market mistakes we've witnessed were driven by the notion that building a business didn't involve customers. Rather, pleasing the investors became the name of the game. That's problematic when you understand that the very investment mechanism used, pre NASDAQ crash, assumed that the investors were unable to predict winners.

Large scale hedge investing, where ten bets are placed on the assumption that one will pay, was the standard method employed by VCs during 1999 and early 2000. By definition, acquisition of that kind of money means that your investors think you only have a 1 in 10 chance of making it. It's hardly an endorsement. Better off were the few enterprises who were given the demand that they produce real revenue results.

There are a number of large projects that can not be taken on purely based on a sales driven machine. The development of real, sophisticated targeting, advertising delivery systems; At the same time, there are a few investments that might make real sense for the VCs in todays market.

There are any number of properties on the market that have way too much money invested in them. Designed by a genius who was buffered from market realities by too much money, they are really specialized tools. To the extent that they duplicate readily available functionality, they are worthless. The value in these tools is the places where they are different from the run of the mill stuff. A clear understanding of the market and a tightly focused sales program can turn some of these dogs into modestly successful products. They aren't the world beaters that their founders claim. But they are precision tools that can be used in very specifically defined circumstances. In this group are a number of lexicon driven profiling systems that, when used by focused and highly trained researchers, can dramatically improve the quality of the overall hiring process.

Unfortunately, the broad markets never wanted these sorts of tools. Their inventors focused on technology, which is what VCs wanted at the time. Marketing, the critical link between customer and product, took a back seat. Generally, successful businesses in our industry are spending 35% to 50% of their budgets on marketing. Rather than believing that an excellent product is enough, they met customers, listened and sold.

In Wayne's World, the mantra was "if you build it, they will come". Here's to hoping that 2000 brought a solid end to large scale investments in these sorts of projects.

- John Sumser

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