Re: [xsl] Future of XSL Stylesheet Writing?
Subject: Re: [xsl] Future of XSL Stylesheet Writing?|
From: Jim Melton <jim.melton@xxxxxxx>
Date: Fri, 28 Sep 2007 10:52:56 -0600
At 9/28/2007 01:20 AM, James Fuller wrote:
I will guess that XSLT will remain relevant for the next 3-4 years,
with 7 years being the 'horizon of relevant usage' tailing off past
that time (critical systems going into maintenance mode will always
need experts to maintain).
Oh, definitely...SQL was popular for only about 7 years and then
abandoned. Oh, wait, it's over 20 years old, still under active
development, and still the most widely used language for *new*
database-related applications by at least one order (and perhaps two
orders) of magnitude. Not to be too sarcastic, but almost everybody
who predicts that technology X will be abandoned/overtaken/replaced
in "just a few years" have had to move into new predictive fields
when they're proven wrong. I can name a half-dozen programming
languages that are getting 10 times as many *new* applications than
newer, fancier languages that were predicted to obliterate the older ones.
As an aside, I have based my time predictions on other events in the
future, for example 2013/2014 is the date whereby most geophysicists
and petro companies see oil usage/price attaining the critical break
even point where all sorts of things become vastly unprofitable (like
shipping a banana a few thousand miles).... there will be a
significant impact on computing at this time as people will start (in
western countries this will start; this type of decision is being made
now in third world countries) making decisions like 'should I drive'
or 'should I use the internet'
I've been using this decision paradigm for at least a half-decade
already, as do most of my friends and colleagues. I think it may
have already started in the west...
Feeling a bit snarky,
.... no doubt the former will win out.
There are always other factors that determine successful software, and
usually change is imposed by fundamental shifts in hardware. I
believe these fundamental hardware improvements will eventually push
us into using languages that are designed for parallel processing;
which may mean that XSLT loses out.
hth, Jim Fuller
Jim Melton --- Editor of ISO/IEC 9075-* (SQL) Phone: +1.801.942.0144
Co-Chair, W3C XML Query WG; F&O (etc.) editor Fax : +1.801.942.3345
Oracle Corporation Oracle Email: jim dot melton at oracle dot com
1930 Viscounti Drive Standards email: jim dot melton at acm dot org
Sandy, UT 84093-1063 USA Personal email: jim at melton dot name
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